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Apple Unveils iPad; Epic Fail In The Making

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Apple unveiled its much anticipated touch screen tablet device today at an exclusive invite only event in San Francisco today. Called the "iPad", it features a 9.7" colour touch screen and is touted as device in between a smart phone and a laptop. Apple engineers designed a custom processor to power the iPad, called the "A4", it's a custom-designed, high-performance, low-power system-on-a-chip. The new chip gives the iPad an impressive 10 hours of battery life.

While I admire Apple's ability to create visually stunning and user friendly devices, I can't see this product taking off and revolutionising the market in the same fashion that the iPod and iPhone did. At the core the iPad is simply an oversized iPod touch. Really, don't kid yourself that is essentially what it is. At a price point starting at US$499 for the Wi-Fi only 16GB model, for all the things it is lacking it isn't a revolutionary product in my mind.

When the iPad hits Australian shores it'll more than likely be over priced just like all of Apple's products, starting somewhere around $600+. The initial market will be the Apple "fanboi's" who will buy anything with an Apple logo. I can't see average consumers jumping on board with this device when you can buy a similar sized laptop or netbook that does more, running a real operating system and with more power at the same or a cheaper price.

Once again Apple's arrogance shines with the iPad severely lacking features that many laptops and netbooks do quite well. The lack of Adobe Flash video integration stands out as the biggest failure. With nearly all internet video running on Flash video, to exclude such a vital plugin in my opinion is nothing short of astounding in this day and age. While internet video standards may change in the future, to deny a plugin that is currently the market leader in internet video is extremely short sighted.

The other key feature missing is multi-tasking. Like the iPhone, the iPad does not run more than one application at a time. You'd think that with Apple designing a custom chip for this device they'd allow background applications so you're able to do more than one thing at a time. This is something any similar priced laptop or netbook will do, Apple missed a vital selling point by not allowing this feature.

It has no USB ports or SD card slots meaning you also have to carry around a dock in order to connect it to a PC or add extra functionality like a real keyboard. It also has no built in webcam so forget Skype or video chatting with friends on the move.

However on a positive note I can see only a couple of useful functions for the iPad. The first would be as a replacement for text books for students in school and university. If Apple manages to successfully set up content agreements with major education book publishers this may help it become a useful educational tool. The other area where this device has the potential to excel is with gaming. If game developers jump on board and come up with some revolutionary games we'll see a whole new gaming platform on the rise.

The media hype surrounding Apple has managed to create a big "who-ha" about nothing. Apple had a real opportunity here to release something that would revolutionise the market but I think they've missed the mark this time. If Apple had released a 10" netbook running OS X, I'd be more forthcoming and positive.

I may be wrong but my gut feeling is telling me this won't be a big success for Apple. What are your thoughts? I'd like to know, leave a comment.


UPDATE

I'm not alone in my criticism of the iPad with many in the blogger-sphere unhappy with Apple's latest invention. The Apple fans and apologists however keep using the same comeback as some sort of defence for the things lacking in the iPad and that is: "It's a first revision of the device, give it time to mature."

Why is it that Apple releases devices like these missing so many core functions and features that first revisions of many laptops/netbooks already have on the market? Apple consumers should not have to put up with this kind of marketing from Apple.

For example. The first iPhone released was a 2G GSM model. 2 freakin' G! I actually made a blog post about this (before my old site crashed a couple of years back) saying that if that iPhone model had been released in Australia you could bet your bottom dollar that it would fail. Why the hell would any manufacturer release a 2G phone in this day and age when clearly everyone is moving to 3G and now 4G technology?

The lack of basic functions in the original iPhone 3G before OS 3.0 came out also shows Apple's arrogance to the market. Things like Cut and Paste are trivial to implement and should have been there from the start. This however does not discount the fact that I actually stated that the iPhone was a revoluntionary device that would shake up the mobile phone market, unlike the iPad which I believe isn't. I also have an iPhone, so that tells you something.

So back to the iPad then. Apple is releasing a device that's touted to go head to head with the netbook space and compete for your hard earned money. Why is it missing such a vital function like running multiple applications? This I cannot understand. The Apple apologists say, give it time, it'll be updated in the next release. Why should Apple fans have to wait for something to be implemented for the sake of Apple's marketing machine to come back in 12 months and say, "Hey look at all the cool new features in iPad 2.0!" That's just ridiculous!

I'm sorry but that argument just does not cut it in my books. So I remain sceptical in my review and if I'm ultimately proven wrong then so be it, I'm man enough to admit I got it wrong. Time will tell.

Comments
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Abhi Beckert     |150.101.176.xxx |2010-01-28 14:25:38
I agree with a lot of what you're saying, but I think you're missing the point, a lot of the things you say it's missing are what makes the iPad a great device.

The whole point is not to have a physical keyboard, because they suck on anything less than a 13" display and they take away precious size/weight. Touch screens are better than small physical keyboards. After nearly three years of practice I can type on my iPhone without looking, and have near perfect accuracy thanks to it's "fuzzy logic" auto correction. Typing on my girlfriend's Nokia (http://tny.ms/4y0z) is slower and less accurate. I'm sure it'll be as good or better than most netbooks with similar width/height/depth/weight. Lets not forget iPads keyboard has larger keys than any netbook with the same size screen (because it hides half of it's keys behind a layout switch button).

A Built in SD card slot and normal shaped USB ports (the dock connector *is* a USB port, among other things) are rarely used in a mobile device and they also add bulk. It's not worth the trade off. Apple is selling an SD card reader for it, as well as an adapter to convert the dock connector to a normal USB port. There is a full API to program USB devices on the iPhone/iPod and the iPad so you do have full USB (that's how iPhone credit card swipe accessories work for example). Cables are going away, one USB port is enough when you have wifi + bluetooth + 3G, and you can buy a USB hub if you really need more occasionally. (my MacBook Air has only one USB port and I can't justify the $10 to buy a hub. I just don't need it). Even my desktop at work only has three USB devices plugged into it, and two of them are purely for power — no data is going across them (phone charger and Display Port to Dual DVI signal converter box for my outdated 30" display).

I do agree that it should have a webcam, and I assume there's a reason it doesn't (early reports say there's an API to access the iPad's webcam, so either prototypes had a webcam or apple is already working on an optional accessory). Perhaps the second generation will have it, and if not then someone will create a bluetooth|wifi|usb webcam (if I can buy a wifi SD card (http://eye.fi/), then why not a webcam?).

Also, you compared it to a netbook... My two nieces have one, and I disagree with you about them "doing more and having more power". Their netbook was in the same price range — $600. It has a smaller screen, it's much slower, it's heavier, the battery lasts one quarter as long, the keyboard/trackpad are barely usable, and it doesn't have any features (that they have ever used) over the iPad except for the webcam.

But more importantly, the "real" operating system on their netbook (Win XP) is barely usable on such a small screen, for example when browsing the web, toolbars take up ~160px vertically and ~20px horizontally — Compared to ~10px vertically and 0px horizontally on the iPad. And their netbook is constantly screwing up because the hardware is bottom-of-the-feed quality and they install random crapware (thankfully they haven't had any viruses yet).

I do agree a *laptop* is better and cheaper than an iPad, but not any netbook that I've seen. However, I also believe most power users who already have a desktop at home (like me) probably don't need the extra features in a laptop (myself for example, I'm a programmer at both my day job and at home in my free time, and I'm intending to buy an iPad to replace my MacBook Air once it's a few years old). And I feel non-power users would get by fine with an iPad as their only computer.

But most of all, lets not forget: this is only one of many portable computers apple sells:

iPod Nano - music and photos
iPod Classic - music, photos, video
iPod Touch - music, photos, video, games, basic apps
iPhone - music, photos, video, games, basic apps, phone, internet everywhere
iPad - music, photos, video, games, real apps (hopefully), internet everywhere
MacBook Air - full laptop, very expensive but almost as portable as iPad
MacBook - a full laptop, cheap but not "ultra" portable
MacBook Pro - a full laptop for people with money to burn

For most people, only one or two of those will be suitable. Not everyone should get an iPad, but based on apple's sales over the last few years I predict that the iPad will outsell apple's laptop and desktops. For several years desktop sales have been plummeting in favour or laptops, and over the last twelve months laptop sales have been plummeting in favour of iPods/iPhones/Netbooks.

A few weeks ago, an interview with someone at google said they were planning to ship Chrome OS in maybe 3 or 4 years from now, when the market was ready to accept an underpowered computer. But they pushed it ahead to this year because sales figures have been making a major shift away from full computers.
Carl - Carlos Computers     |118.208.4.xxx |2010-01-28 17:18:26
OK I'll address each one of your points.

1. The touchscreen. Yes very pretty and agreed where things are headed. Still not the crux of my argument on the actual functionality of the iPad.

2. Adaptors. Yuck. Yay let's carry adaptors around with us while every other laptop and notebook on the market has these things BUILT IN.

3. We're in agreement on the webcam.

4. See this from MSI coming this year: http://bit.ly/crj2Yy

5. All netbooks now run Windows 7 or a Linux variant. Much more efficient and better than XP in so many ways. As above we should see more devices like the MSI tablet with Google's Android OS.

6. Fair enough.

As I said, I remain sceptical and it remains to be seen whether this device will be a hit or a miss from Apple. The iPod and iPhone are runaway successes because they revolutionised an existing market.

The iPad has far too much competition from lower priced Laptops and Netbooks in my opinion to revolutionise its market and as with the MSI release above, it'll have a hard time trying to convince average consumers of it's usefulness.
Tate Jones     |203.214.95.xxx |2010-01-29 00:16:56
You can easily identify some hardware deficiencies with the iPad when comparing it with existing devices like Netbooks and PC tablets. However, I believe the major difference (to experience) will be the applications. Re-written applications like Mail, iPhoto, Pages, Keynote and Numbers with full multi-touch and gesture capabilities will certainly raise bar for "productive" mobile devices. I have used PC tablets in pass and I was always disappointed that applications provided were not adapted or modified from the Desktop to take advantage of the new interface capabilities. At the end-of-the-day without cool and productive applications the amazing advancements in hardware technology is somewhat wasted. With the mass demand and familiarity of the iphone and the App Store the transition to the iPad is a pretty painless one.

I could also be wrong as well.....
Angu   |121.45.209.xxx |2010-07-12 18:48:29
Clearly like so many of your tech theories Carl you were wrong about the sucess of the iPad.

What is it now? 3 Million in what 3 months?.

Also regarding your earlier reply, not all netbooks come with Windows 7 or a Linux variant, to say so is not just wrong, its stupid.
Carl - Carlos Computers     |118.208.42.xxx |2010-07-17 15:46:08
Hi Angu,

3 million in 3 months is a big amount but unless you accurately compare it to Netbook and tablet sales for the same period it means nothing.

According to research done by Paul Thurrott at winsupersite.com, iPad's are not cannibalising netbook, tablet or notebook sales and while they did slow somewhat they are still continuing in an upward direction.

Acorrding to CNet, in the first half of 2010 there were almost 20 million netbooks/slate tablets sold.

There were 30 million netbooks sold in 2009, and projected to sell 45 million units in 2011 according to the IDC and Wall Street Journal.

Furthermore I did say in my blog article that "The initial market will be the Apple "fanboi's" who will buy anything with an Apple logo." Which is holding true.

What I did underestimate were the consumers who didn't have a current computer, such as grandparents, where this device has proved an easy to use alternative for their needs.

So, so far my post is holding true. It's not a great success by any stretch of the imagination compared to netbook sales. We'll wait and see however.

And yes all Netbooks do now either come with Windows 7 or a Linux variant. Windows XP is now officially off-sale so any Netbook running Windows XP is old stock.

If you can enlighten me as to how I'm wrong on that point I'd like to hear it because as far as I'm concerned you're spreading rubbish.
Steven Hambo     |118.208.173.xxx |2010-07-18 18:30:25
3 million in 3 months is a big amount but unless you accurately compare it to Netbook and tablet sales for the same period it means nothing.

- Well surely as a business person you would compare it to your own projections and expectations. I might as well declare Carlos Computers an epic failure because you sell less than OfficeWorks.

-----

Furthermore I did say in my blog article that "The initial market will be the Apple "fanboi's" who will buy anything with an Apple logo." Which is holding true.

- Can you point me to the statistics with the number of confessed fanbois to general purchasers?

-----

So, so far my post is holding true. It's not a great success by any stretch of the imagination compared to netbook sales. We'll wait and see however.

- And no-where in your initial article did you say it *would* be a failure compared to the SALES of netbooks. You just compared features which is a very short sighted thing to do. Yes it has less features but less is sometimes more and for content consumers, it's perfect.

- For Apple, it's a great success.
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Last Updated on Friday, 29 January 2010 09:45